Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

Active$4.5M Vol.$4M LiquidityEnds Jul 31, 2026Polymarket
0%chance
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Markets

Choose an outcome, review the live chance, then trade Yes or No.

2 outcomes
MarketChanceTrade
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?$4.5M Vol.413 comments$4M liq.1c spread
51%+1%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) has a final "High" price of $1,000,000 or higher before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. The resolution source for Bitcoin is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Market Context

Yes is currently priced at 51%, while No is near 52%. Trader activity is reflected in the live price, volume, and activity feed shown on this page.

Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket-style market data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves.

Volume$4.5M
End DateJul 31, 2026
Market OpenedJun 12, 2026
Resolver0xbb57cc...ee89d2
Resolutionactive

Market updates

Today

No holds the top probability

No jumps 2%

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? is trading with $4.5M in volume. No is priced at 52%, followed by Yes at 51%.

Market data
Jun 12, 2026

Market opened for trading

Liquidity forming

Traders can buy Yes or No on each listed outcome. Prices update as orders clear and new information reaches the market.

Resolution rules
Live

Resolution language remains the source of truth

Rules active

Before taking a position, review the rules and the listed resolver. Market context can inform trading, but it does not determine settlement.

Market context
PostBeware of external links.
Y
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the "Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?" prediction market?

Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? is a prediction market where traders buy and sell shares based on which outcome they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is No at 52%, followed by Yes at 51%.

How much trading activity has "Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?" generated?

This market has generated $4.5M in volume. Higher volume usually means a deeper pool of traders is contributing to the displayed probabilities.

How do I trade on "Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?"?

Choose an outcome, select Yes or No, enter an amount, and submit the order from the trade ticket. Correct shares redeem for $1 at resolution.

When does the "Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?" market close?

This market is scheduled to close around Jul 31, 2026. Exact settlement follows the rules and resolver shown above.